Category: 交易新闻

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纽约 CNN——

最近几周，中国经济活动陷入疲软，香港股市因此徘徊在熊市区域。

这对于在中国有重大风险敞口的美国公司来说也是个坏消息——如果情况恶化，许多标准普尔 500 强公司将首先受到攻击。

正在发生的事情：经过三年严格的大流行限制措施后，中国于 12 月迅速重启经济，这被誉为推动全球增长超速发展的催化剂。

根据国际货币基金组织 最近的预测，被压抑的消费需求和世界第二大经济体制造业的复苏预计将在 2023 年推动全球约 35% 的增长。

中国的重新开放产生了积极影响：工厂在 2 月创下了近 11 年来最好的一个月，该国经济在今年第一季度增长了 4.5% 。但最近的数据显示，这种积极性可能是短暂的。

由于全球需求减弱，中国5 月份出口同比下降 7.5%。最近的数据显示，中国也在应对低于预期的消费者支出、制造业放缓和房屋销售疲软。根据官方数据，城市地区的青年失业率已达到 20%，创历史新高。

华盛顿和北京之间日益紧张的地缘政治局势令投资者感到恐慌，加剧了市场波动。美国驻华大使尼古拉斯伯恩斯周三表示，最近对贝恩、Capvision、Mintz Group 和美光科技 (MU)等美国咨询公司的打击令跨国企业感到担忧。

“Investor views about China remain pessimistic, partly because of skepticism about near-term growth momentum and partly because of worries about the longer-term outlook,” wrote Goldman Sachs analysts in a note on Tuesday.

China, home to more than 1.4 billion people, saw its population drop in 2022 for the first time in more than 60 years. A shrinking population means lower consumption. When Beijing made the announcement in January, global stocks were roiled. The Dow fell by 300 points and the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index, which follows Chinese firms on American exchanges, fell by 4%.

What it means for markets: US-based companies doing business in China stand to lose if the economy continues on a downward trajectory. Companies like Apple (AAPL), Intel (INTC), Ford (F) and Tesla (TSLA) have large manufacturing ties to the country. Others, like Starbucks (SBUX) and Nike (NKE), rely on Chinese consumers.

Earlier this year, Bank of America (BAC) compiled a list of the S&P 500 companies with the highest exposure to China. Topping the list was Las Vegas Sands (LVS), down nearly 6% this month, with 68% of its sales coming from China.

Qualcomm (QCOM), with a 67% exposure rate to China, issued disappointing forward guidance during earnings last month, citing China’s slow recovery.

Tesla, Intel, Nvidia (NVDA), Wynn Resorts (WYNN) and MGM Resorts (MGM) were also among the 25 S&P 500 companies with the most exposure to China.

Companies that generate more than 50% of sales outside of the United States saw an earnings decline rate of -10.2% in the first quarter of 2023, according to FactSet data. Companies that generated more than 50% of sales inside the United States, however, saw an earnings growth rate of 2.7%.

Meanwhile, Chinese stocks trading in Hong Kong, just barely avoided entering bear territory this month: The Hang Seng index was down 19.6% on May 31 from its January high and the Golden Dragon China Index has fallen 5.6% so far this year.

JD.com (JD), one of the largest Chinese companies trading in the United States, has fallen by nearly 36% this year. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group have both lowered their forecasts for Chinese equity indexes.

The bright side: There’s still potential for upside, say economists. Analysts at Nomura and Barclays forecast Chinese economic growth of almost 8% for the second quarter.

Ayaz Ebrahim, JPMorgan Chase’s emerging markets and Asia Pacific equities portfolio manager, recently said on Bloomberg TV that the bank is adding more shares of Chinese stocks to its portfolio in a bet that the Chinese government will back floundering companies and boost valuations.

Wildfires in Canada have smothered large swaths of the United States in a thick plume of toxic smoke, leading to air quality warnings and advisories to stay inside. But fine particles from the smoke can make their way indoors. Air purifiers can be helpful with filtering out the pollution.

Searches on Google have increased 16 fold since Monday, according to Google trends.

Whirlpool (WHR), one of the largest home goods manufacturers in the world, has seen its stock surge 13.2% over the past five days and by 6.4% on Wednesday alone. The company says that its HEPA purifiers can remove up to 99.97% of bad particles from air.

Shares of Carrier Global (CARR), which makes residential and industrial air purifiers and HVAC units, have gained nearly 11% over the past five days.

Johnson Controls (JCI), which has a number of air filters on the market, has also seen its stock price soar. Shares are up by 8.5% over a five-day period.

The air purifier market is poised to grow as climate change increases air pollution and exacerbates breathing difficulties. A Market Insights report forecasts that the industry is expected to grow at an annual compound rate of 10.8% to $2.9 billion by 2025, and $4.8 billion by 2030.

Outdoor air pollution could cause 6 to 9 million premature deaths a year globally by 2060 and cost $2.6 trillion annually because of sick days, increased medical bills and reduced productivity, according to an Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development report.

Sir Ivan Menezes, who served for a decade as chief executive of the largest spirits maker in the world, has died at age 63 after a short but aggressive illness.

Diageo confirmed Menezes’ death on Wednesday, just two days after the company announced that he was stepping down as CEO following complications from an emergency surgery on an ulcer.

Menezes was born in 1959 in Pune, India. He held UK and US citizenship, as well as overseas citizenship for India. He joined Diageo at its creation in 1997 and became CEO in July 2013. He was knighted in January by King Charles III for services to Business and to Equality. Prior to his illness, he was expected to retire at the end of June. COO Debra Crew, who was set to become CEO on July 1, will take on the role of interim chief executive, effective immediately.

Menezes, who ran the $93 billion company behind Johnnie Walker whiskey, Smirnoff vodka, Guinness and Tanqueray gin, was well known as a champion of diversity in the workplace.

About 40% of Diageo’s senior positions are held by women and 37% of its leaders are ethnically diverse.

“Ivan was undoubtedly one of the finest leaders of his generation,” said Diageo chairman Javier Ferrán in a statement on Wednesday. “Ivan was there at the creation of Diageo and over 25 years, shaped Diageo to become one of the best performing, most trusted and respected consumer companies.”

Under his leadership, Diageo’s market value nearly doubled from $52 billion to $93 billion. Menezes also successfully guided Diageo through the Covid-19 pandemic, delivering a net sales value 36% larger in 2023 than in 2019, Diageo said.

Menezes 还曾担任 Tapestry 的非执行董事、苏格兰威士忌协会理事会主席以及西北大学凯洛格管理学院全球顾问委员会成员。

美国股市周五收高，此前一份劳动力市场报告显示 5 月份工资增长放缓，表明美联储可能在两周内不加息，而投资者欢迎华盛顿达成一项避免灾难性债务违约的协议。

以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数盘中飙升至 13 个月以来的新高，并连续第六周上涨，这是自 2020 年 1 月以来的最佳连胜纪录。

劳工部表示，美国 5 月份就业增长加速，但失业率飙升至七个月高点 3.7%，原因是更多人找工作表明劳动力市场状况正在缓和。

失业率从 4 月份的 53 年低点 3.4% 跃升，反映出家庭就业下降和整体劳动力增加。更大的劳动力储备正在缓解企业提高工资的压力，并有助于减缓通胀。

路透社发布

三位消息人士周五告诉路透社，由于油价跌至每桶 70 美元，市场分析师谈到新的供应过剩，欧佩克及其盟友正在讨论进一步削减石油产量，减产幅度可能高达每天 100 万桶。

由石油输出国组织和以俄罗斯为首的盟友组成的欧佩克+生产全球约 40% 的原油，这意味着其政策决定可能对油价产生重大影响。

三位 OPEC+ 消息人士称，OPEC+ 部长们将于周日下午 2 点（格林威治标准时间 1200）齐聚维也纳，届时正在讨论减产方案。在此之前，欧佩克部长们将于周六上午 11 点召开会议。

The sources said cuts could amount to 1 million bpd on top of existing cuts of 2 million bpd and voluntary cuts of 1.6 million bpd that was announced in a surprise move in April.

Posted by Reuters

3M Co has struck a tentative settlement of at least $10 billion with a host of U.S. cities and towns to resolve water pollution claims tied to “forever chemicals,” Bloomberg News reported on Friday, citing people familiar with the matter.

Hours earlier, chemical companies including Chemours Co, DuPont de Nemours Inc and Corteva Inc reached an agreement in principle for $1.19 billion to settle claims that they contaminated U.S. public water systems with the potentially harmful chemicals.

3M was scheduled to face trial on Monday against the City of Stuart, Florida. It was not immediately clear whether the trial will proceed.

Stuart claims that company made or sold firefighting foams containing per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances, or PFAS, despite knowing for decades that the chemicals can cause cancer and other ailments. The city has said it is seeking more than $100 million from 3M to pay for water filtration and soil remediation.

Posted by Reuters

JPMorgan Chase & Co’s President and Chief Operating Officer Daniel Pinto said loan demand is declining at a time when regional and small banks are also tightening credit.

“There is no doubt that regional banks and smaller banks are building up liquidity, building capital, so they are lending a bit less,” Pinto told investors on Friday. “I don’t think that the big banks have really changed their lending standards… there is not a huge amount of loan demand in the first place.

“Consumption remains positive, but there are some indications the economy is slowing, Pinto said. He expected the Federal Reserve to raise rates further.

“Likely the Fed will get to run towards 5.5% and then they will pause” to assess whether efforts to curb inflation have succeeded, Pinto said. If inflation accelerates further, the Fed could raise rates 50 basis points with a series of smaller rate hikes, he said.

Posted by Reuters

Chemours Co, DuPont de Nemours Inc and Corteva Inc on Friday said they had reached an agreement in principle to settle claims that they contaminated U.S. public water systems with toxic “forever chemicals” for $1.19 billion.

The chemical companies are facing thousands of lawsuits in the U.S. over their alleged role in polluting the environment with perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl, substances (PFAS) that have been used for decades in manufacturing nonstick coatings such as Teflon.

The companies, which deny the allegations, svaid that they expect to finalize a formal agreement by the second quarter of 2023. Chemours said it would contribute half the agreed amount, while the remainder would be provided by DuPont and Corteva.

Chemours will take a pre-tax charge in the current quarter of $592 million related to the fund.

Posted by Reuters

Chrysler-parent Stellantis and General Motors paid a total of $363 million in civil penalties for failing to meet U.S. fuel economy requirements for prior model years, documents seen Friday by Reuters show.

The record-setting penalties include $235.5 million for Stellantis for the 2018 and 2019 model years and $128.2 million for GM covering 2016 and 2017, according to the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), which administers the Corporate Average Fuel Economy program.

Posted by Reuters

Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of U.S. bank JPMorgan Chase & Co, is visiting Taiwan on Friday, a source with direct knowledge of the matter said, his first trip to the island in a nearly a decade, after concluding a visit to China this week.

Dimon’s trip to Taipei, where JPMorgan has had a banking presence since 1970, comes amid heightened tension over the democratically-governed island, which Beijing claims as its own territory. Taiwan strongly rejects China’s sovereignty claims.

But China, which bristles at visits to Taiwan by foreign government officials, tends to ignore trips by business executives, who usually keep clear of politics.

“The Chinese are much more concerned about U.S. government contacts with Taiwan than they are with private firms and banks doing business,” said Andrew Collier, managing director at Orient Capital Research in Hong Kong.

Posted by Reuters

Volkswagen will start selling battery-powered versions of its VW bus in North America from 2024 onwards, the carmaker said on Friday, in what marks the reintroduction of the iconic model after a two-decade hiatus.

The introduction of the fully electric ID. Buzz will also include an extra-long version that can seat up to seven passengers and features a larger 85 kilowatt hour (kWh) battery to increase range.

“With the T4 generation, the VW bus left the USA and Canada 20 years ago. But the microbus – as the VW bus is called between New York and San Francisco – has retained its cult status right up to the present day,” Volkswagen said in a statement.

All ID. Buzz vehicles for the North American market will be built at Volkswagen’s plant in Hanover, Germany, the company said, adding batteries could be charged from 10%-80% in 25 minutes at available rapid charging stations.

Posted by Reuters

Barclays Chief Executive C.S. Venkatakrishnan held a virtual town hall this week to address management changes that have led to about two dozen U.S. investment bankers fleeing in the last few weeks, people familiar with the matter said.

The bankers have left for rivals including Citigroup Inc, UBS Group AG and Jefferies Financial Group Inc, Reuters has reported. Venkatakrishnan’s intervention underscores the pressure that the British bank is under to protect its U.S. investment banking franchise.

Barclays slipped to 14th from sixth in Refinitiv’s Americas mergers and acquisitions league table in the first quarter of 2023, even as it jumped from ninth to fifth in the Europe, Middle East and Africa league table, as its U.S. dealmakers struggled to preserve market share amid a slowdown in transactions.

Venkatakrishnan promised during the meeting to invest in the investment banking business to boost morale, the sources said.

Posted by Reuters

Boeing Co. CEO Dave Calhoun on Friday said progress on resolving supply chain problems has been “frustratingly slow” even as airlines’ demand for planes has bounced back to pre-pandemic levels.

Boeing has seen progress in certain elements of its supply chain, such as engine forgings and castings, Calhoun said.

But the ability for aircraft makers like Boeing and European rival Airbus to meet customer demand for new planes will still be constrained “five years from now,” he added.

“We’ve got to be smart about how we manage supply against that demand spike,” Calhoun said at the Bernstein annual strategic decisions conference.

Posted by Reuters

The U.S. economy added a whopping 339,000 jobs last month even as the unemployment rate ticked higher creating a new wrinkle for the Federal Reserve.

Posted by FOX Business Team

当梅西百货等其他零售商在消费者支出回落时苦苦挣扎时，露露柠檬却恰恰相反。

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